Guan Qingyou: I am optimistic about the stock market by cutting interest rates and lowering the RRR. For example, Guan Qingyou, president and chief economist of the Financial Research Institute, said that lowering the RRR and raising interest rates will definitely happen, and from the downward trend of previous interest rates, it should be faster. Regarding the current market conditions, Guan Qingyou said that different subjects have different judgments on the market trend in one or two trading days, but he is still optimistic, and said that the positive impact of the current policy change on the capital market cannot be underestimated. Combining industrial structure and policy orientation, Guan Qingyou said that consumer companies, technology companies, and mergers and acquisitions involving the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries to emerging formats are all his optimistic directions. In addition, for the economic growth target in 2025, Guan Qingyou believes that "the target of 5% can still be contested". He also said that 2025 will be better than 2024. "In 2025, the adjustment of policies will bring more increments to the market and industry." (sohu finance)The European Central Bank opened the door for further interest rate cuts. On Thursday, the European Central Bank cut interest rates for the fourth time this year and opened the door for further interest rate cuts in the future, because inflation is close to its target and the economy is still weak. The European Central Bank lowered the deposit interest rate from 3.25% to 3.0%, and cancelled the statement that the interest rate remained "sufficiently restrictive", suggesting that it was possible to cut interest rates further. The European Central Bank said: "The financial environment is easing, because the recent interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank have gradually reduced the new borrowing costs of enterprises and households." "But the financial environment is still very tight, because monetary policy is still restrictive, and past interest rate hikes are still being transmitted to outstanding stock credit."South Korea's finance ministers and Japan's finance ministers held an online meeting, and the two sides reiterated the importance of the partnership between the two countries.
Enterprise IT Expenditure Survey: Google Cloud is expected to be the first choice for 50% of the respondents. Tae Kim, a science and technology columnist, wrote that according to a recent survey, Google Cloud has risen rapidly in the enterprise AI expenditure competition and may become the winner. According to the 2025 CIO survey released by Piper Sandler, 81 CIOs were asked about their budget priorities in different suppliers and technical fields. According to the survey, 87% of CIOs surveyed expect to increase the IT budget in 2025, which is the highest proportion of the survey since 2020. In this survey, the status of Google Cloud has risen significantly, surpassing Microsoft and OpenAI to become the "most strategic" AI supplier, with a support rate of 27%, a significant increase from 15% six months ago. Relatively speaking, Microsoft's support rate dropped from 33% to 24%. When asked which cloud company they plan to use to test or implement AI projects next year, 50% of the respondents chose Google Cloud, making it the top AI infrastructure provider. In addition, Harsh Kumar, a Piper semiconductor analyst, pointed out that these results are also beneficial to Invista, because all cloud companies are the main buyers of AI chips in NVIDIA. Kumar estimates that the entire AI chip market will have more than $500 billion in business opportunities by 2028.It is reported that the price of iPhone 18 Pro's further use of TSMC's 2nm chip will increase by 70%. It is reported that in 2026, the A20 Pro processor of iPhone 18 Pro will be produced by TSMC's 2 nm process for the first time, and the chip price will rise from the current 50 US dollars to 85 US dollars, with an increase of 70%. With the high cost, the price of iPhone 18 Pro may increase. (Taiwan Province Business Times)In the first ten months, Jiangsu's ship exports exceeded 60%, ranking first in the country. According to Nanjing Customs statistics, from January to October this year, Jiangsu exported 85.84 billion yuan of all kinds of ships, ranking first in the country in terms of export scale, with a year-on-year increase of 63.2%. The exports of three main ship types, namely, tankers, container ships and bulk carriers, increased by 179.5%, 91% and 16.2% respectively.
Dongyang Guangyao submitted a prospectus to be listed in Hong Kong by way of introduction. On December 11th, Dongyangguang Pharmaceutical, the controlling shareholder of Dongyangguang Changjiang Pharmaceutical, submitted a prospectus to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to be listed in Hong Kong by way of introduction, and the exclusive sponsor was CICC.India imported 841,993 tons of palm oil in November, compared with 845,682 tons in October.European Central Bank: It is estimated that the GDP growth rate will be 0.7% in 2024, 1.1% in 2025, 1.4% in 2026 and 1.3% in 2027. (It is expected to be 0.8%, 1.3% and 1.5% respectively in September) It is estimated that the core inflation rate will be 2.9% in 2024, 2.3% in 2025 and 1.9% in 2026. (It is expected to be 2.8%, 2.3% and 2.0% respectively in September) It is estimated that the core inflation rate will be 1.9% in 2027.
Strategy guide
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Strategy guide